Nic Lampkin wrote:
> In a recent message on SANet, I read that:
>
> >the following statement appeared in an e-newsletter sent out by a food
> vendor in England:
>
> >Nationally sales of organic food are growing at a rate such that, if it
> were to >continue at the same rate, 80% of all the food we eat will be
> organic by the year 2010.
>
> Before anyone gets too carried away, the figure derives from a paper I
> presented at the recent UK organic farming conference at Cirencester, in
> which I suggested that if growth rates of 35% per year or more could be
> achieved, then this might be the case, but this was highly unlikely because
> the average long run trend in Europe was for 25% annual growth. I concluded
> that the UK was much more likely to achieve 10% by 2010, while the European
> average could reach more than that.
> (Organic farming currently accounts for 2% of agricultural land in western
> Europe (3 million ha) and 1% in the United Kingdom (200,000 ha)).
>
> Nic Lampkin
>
> Welsh Institute of Rural Studies
> University of Wales, Aberystwyth
> GB-Ceredigion SY23 3AL
>
> Tel: +44 (0)1970 622248/624471
> Fax: +44 (0)1970 611264/622238
> http://www.aber.ac.uk/~wirwww/organic
>
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