>the following statement appeared in an e-newsletter sent out by a food
vendor in England:
>Nationally sales of organic food are growing at a rate such that, if it
were to >continue at the same rate, 80% of all the food we eat will be
organic by the year 2010.
Before anyone gets too carried away, the figure derives from a paper I
presented at the recent UK organic farming conference at Cirencester, in
which I suggested that if growth rates of 35% per year or more could be
achieved, then this might be the case, but this was highly unlikely because
the average long run trend in Europe was for 25% annual growth. I concluded
that the UK was much more likely to achieve 10% by 2010, while the European
average could reach more than that.
(Organic farming currently accounts for 2% of agricultural land in western
Europe (3 million ha) and 1% in the United Kingdom (200,000 ha)).
Nic Lampkin
Welsh Institute of Rural Studies
University of Wales, Aberystwyth
GB-Ceredigion SY23 3AL
Tel: +44 (0)1970 622248/624471
Fax: +44 (0)1970 611264/622238
http://www.aber.ac.uk/~wirwww/organic
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